The RBNZ Is In Focus This Week | The Kiwi Economy Requires Rate Relief, Quick
Financial market participants were reminded of the strength of the US economy last week. The September payrolls was shockingly strong. Over 250k jobs were added in the month, far exceeded forecasts of a 150k gain. The tally for the last two months was also revised higher by a combined 72k. The unemployment rate fell for the second straight month to 4.1%. And wage growth came above forecast at 4%yoy from 3.9%yoy. Taken alongside expectations of inflation lifting just 0.1% in September (data out this week), the US is truly shaping up to be a Goldilocks economy. Inflation is relatively benign and the labour market is robust. Markets and local commentators are re-thinking bets on the size of the Fed’s November rate cut. The data suggests removing another 50bp cut from the table and potentially replacing it with a pause. Indeed, traders are now pricing in less than a 25bp cut for the November meeting, a sharp pullback from the 33bps of cuts prior to the payrolls print. US treasury yields jumped in response, and the…
7 Oct 20:01 · SCOOP