Japan factory output likely rebounded in Sept on auto production recovery: Reuters Poll
· CNA · JoinTOKYO: Japan's industrial output likely rebounded in September, led by a recovery in auto production, but sustained solid growth may be uncertain on lacklustre global demand, a Reuters poll showed on Friday (Oct 25).
Industrial output was forecast to rise 1.0 per cent in September from the previous month, the poll of 17 analysts found. It dropped 3.3 per cent in August battered by typhoon-led disruptions in auto production and weak US sales.
"Although the US economy is unexpectedly resilient, the global economy as a whole is showing lower growth," said Takeshi Minami, chief economist at Norinchukin Research Institute.
"Auto exports, Japan's main export, are sluggish ... Production in September is expected to grow only slightly."
Factory output last month was also likely supported by gains in production of electronic parts and devices on the back of demand increase for semiconductors, the poll showed.
Next week data also includes retail sales, which will likely show a 2.3 per cent gain in September from a year earlier after a revised 3.1 per cent increase in August, the poll found.
Solid demand from inbound tourism continued boosting the nation's retail sales, analysts expected.
The trade ministry will announce factory output and retail sales at 8.50am on Oct 31.
Japan's jobless rate was likely at 2.5 per cent in September, unchanged from August, and the jobs-to-applicants ratio was expected to be steady at 1.23, according to the poll.
The jobs data will be published at 8.30am on Oct 29.
The poll also found the Bank of Japan will likely keep short-term rates steady at 0.25 per cent when the bank holds a two-day policy meeting ending on Oct 31.
The BOJ's policy decision will come out after Sunday's general election where new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba faces a key test on his agenda to prop up wages and revitalise the country's weak regional economies.
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