USD/JPY: Expected to edge higher – UOB Group

The US Dollar (USD) is expected to edge higher; due to the mild momentum, any advance is likely limited to a test of 149.70. In the longer run, although momentum has not increased much; further USD strength seems likely. Levels to watch are 150.05 and 151.00, UOB Group’s FC analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

Levels to watch are 150.05 and 151.00

24-HOUR VIEW: “We indicated last Friday that USD ‘appears to have moved into a consolidation,’ and we expected it to trade in a 148.10//149.40 range. USD subsequently traded between 148.39 and 149.28, closing at 149.13 (+0.38%). There has been a slight increase upward momentum, and today, we expect USD to edge higher. Due to the mild momentum, any advance is likely limited to a test of 149.70. The major resistance at 150.05 is unlikely to come into view. Support is at 148.95; a breach of 148.60 would indicate that the current mild upward pressure has faded.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We have been expecting a higher USD since early this month (as annotated in the chart below). In our most recent narrative from last Thursday (10 Oct, spot at 149.20), we highlighted that ‘although upward momentum has not increased much, further USD strength seems likely, and the levels to watch are at 150.05 and 151.00.’ We continue to hold the same view provided that 148.00 (‘strong support’ level previously at 147.50) is not breached.”

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