Troy vs. South Alabama prediction, odds, line: 2024 college football Week 8 Tuesday picks from proven model

SportsLine's model simulated Tuesday's South Alabama Jaguars vs. Troy Trojans matchup 10,000 times

The South Alabama Jaguars will look to snap a six-game losing streak to the Troy Trojans when they meet in a Sun Belt Conference West Division matchup on Tuesday night. Troy has won nine of the 12 all-time meetings between the schools. Troy (1-5, 0-2 Sun Belt), which has lost two in a row, have a minus-43 point differential this season. South Alabama (2-4, 1-1 Sun Belt), which has lost two straight, have outscored opponents 219-163 on the year.

Kickoff from Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile, Ala., is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Troy is averaging 20.7 points per game, while South Alabama averages 36.5. After opening at -13.5, the Jaguars are now favored by 11.5 points in the latest Troy vs. South Alabama odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 55. Before making any South Alabama vs. Troy picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 12-5 on all top-rated picks over the past three weeks of this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Troy vs. South Alabama. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for South Alabama vs. Troy: 

• Troy vs. South Alabama spread: South Alabama -11.5        
• Troy vs. South Alabama over/under: 55 points
• Troy vs. South Alabama money line: South Alabama -459, Troy +344
• TROY: The Trojans have hit the first-half money line in 10 of their last 14 games (+10.85 units)
• SA: The Jaguars have covered the first-half spread in six of their last seven games at home (+4.80 units)
• Troy vs. South Alabama picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Troy vs. South Alabama streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why you should back South Alabama

The Jaguars have a one-two punch at running back with freshman Fluff Bothwell and junior Kentrel Bullock. Bothwell leads the Jaguars in rushing with 406 yards on 55 carries (7.4 average) and six touchdowns. He has a long run of 57 yards. In an 87-10 win over Northwestern State on Sept. 12, he carried just seven times for 143 yards (20.4 average) and two touchdowns. He also scored a pair of touchdowns in a 48-14 win over Appalachian State on Sept. 19, carrying 14 times for 116 yards (8.3 average).

Bullock has been impressive as well, carrying 52 times for 325 yards (6.3 average) and three TDs this season. In the win over Northwestern State, he carried eight times for 102 yards (12.8 average) and two touchdowns. He rushed 11 times for 46 yards and a score in the win at Appalachian State. In the loss at Arkansas State on Oct. 5, he carried 13 times for 66 yards. In two seasons at South Alabama, he has 135 rushes for 773 yards (5.7 average) and seven touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Troy

Junior quarterback Goose Crowder's status is uncertain due to a head injury against Louisiana-Monroe on Sept. 28. He has completed 43 of 62 pass attempts (69.4%) for 542 yards and five touchdowns for a rating of 169.4. He has also rushed 18 times for 52 yards (2.9 average) and one touchdown. In a 34-12 win over Florida A&M, he completed 17 of 24 passes (70.8%) for 291 yards and four touchdowns.

Junior running back Damien Taylor powers the Trojans rushing attack. He has carried 68 times for 399 yards (5.9 average) and two touchdowns. In the win over Florida A&M on Sept. 21, he carried 15 times for 109 yards (7.3 average) and one touchdown. He carried 11 times for 63 yards (5.7 average) against Texas State. See which team to pick here.

How to make Troy vs. South Alabama picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 50 combined points. It also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Troy vs. South Alabama, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on its FBS college football picks since its inception, and find out.