Week 4 NFL survivor pool pick, advice, strategy: Expert who faded Bengals, Ravens gives top knockout pick

SportsLine NFL expert R.J. White, who avoided the Bengals in Week 1, Ravens in Week 2, and Cincy again in Week 3, just locked in his top Week 4 NFL survivor pick

Staying alive in NFL survivor pool picks has been challenging through the first three weeks of the season, with this year's survival rate being among the lowest ever. The most popular NFL survivor pick has lost in each of the first three weeks, which could make some players want to avoid big favorites during the Week 4 NFL schedule. San Francisco is a 10.5-point favorite against New England in the Week 4 NFL odds, the largest spread of the week. The early eliminations have reduced the likelihood of needing to stay alive for the entire season, so should you take the 49ers with your Week 4 NFL eliminator pool picks?

The Jets are 7.5-point favorites against the Broncos on Sunday, while the Chiefs are 7-point road favorites against the Chargers. Kansas City is going to be a heavy favorite regularly this season, potentially making them a less appealing Week 4 NFL knockout pool pick. Before finalizing any Week 4 NFL survivor picks, you need to see which team proven expert R.J. White is backing.

White has been SportsLine's No. 1 NFL against-the-spread expert over the last seven years, going 643-543-34 against the spread to put him up more than 46 units on those picks at SportsLine since 2017. He has also delivered a 56.7% hit rate on his Vegas contest picks over the last nine seasons and has two finishes in the money, including finishing 18th out of 2,748 entries back in 2017.

His advice can be used to crush the Survivor Pool format, which calls for picking one team to win each week but never using the same team twice. In Week 1, White correctly recommended to avoid the Bengals, who lost to the Patriots as 8.5-point favorites. Instead, White picked the Saints, who beat the Panthers by 37 points in the most lopsided game of the week. Then in Week 2, he avoided the Ravens, who lost to the Raiders as 8.5-point favorites, and instead backed the Texans, who defeated the Bears. He then advised to avoid Cincinnati again in Week 3, despite it being the heaviest favorites, and the Bengals would be upset by the Commanders.

Anyone who followed his advice avoided three of the biggest NFL upsets of the season and advanced in their NFL knockout pools.

Now, White has turned his attention to the latest Week 4 NFL odds and locked in his Week 4 survivor pool pick. You can only see who White is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 4 NFL survivor pool predictions 

In Week 4 of the 2024 NFL season, White is avoiding the Cardinals (-3.5, 50.5), even though they are a home favorite over a Commanders team coming off a short week. Arizona has dropped two of its first three games this season, including a 20-13 loss at home against Detroit last week. The Cardinals finished with fewer than 280 total yards, as quarterback Kyler Murray averaged 6.1 yards per pass with an interception.

Washington brings momentum into this matchup after picking up back-to-back wins against the Giants and Bengals. The Commanders were 7.5-point road underdogs in their win over the Bengals, as quarterback Jayden Daniels completed 21 of 23 passes for 254 yards and two touchdowns. Daniels set an NFL rookie record for completion percentage (91.3%) in that game, so he is not a quarterback White wants to fade on Sunday. See which team to pick instead here.

How to make Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks 

Instead, White is backing a team whose opponent could get "next to nothing" out of its quarterback. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which team is a must-back in your Week 4 NFL survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 4, all from the expert who avoided the Bengals in Weeks 1 and 3 the Ravens in Week 2, and is up almost 50 units on ATS picks.