Houston vs. TCU odds, line, spread, time: 2024 college football picks, Week 6 predictions from proven model

SportsLine's model just revealed its college football picks for the Houston Cougars vs. TCU Horned Frogs on Friday

A Big 12 clash will occur on Friday night as the Houston Cougars visit the TCU Horned Frogs. Houston (1-4, 0-2) has been shut out the last two weeks, losing by a combined score of 54-0 to conference foes Cincinnati and Iowa State. The Horned Frogs (3-2, 1-1) ended a two-game losing streak a week ago by defeating Kansas, 38-27. The all-time series between these two schools is tied, with each program having 13 wins.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. The Horned Frogs are favored by 16.5 points in the latest TCU vs. Houston odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 51.5. Before entering any Houston vs. TCU picks, you'll want to see the college football predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also went a sizzling 6-0 on all top-rated college football picks in Week 5. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on TCU vs. Houston. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for Houston vs. TCU:

• TCU vs. Houston spread: TCU -16.5
• TCU vs. Houston over/under: 51.5 points
• TCU vs. Houston money line: TCU -769, Houston +520
• TCU vs. Houston picks: See picks here
• TCU vs. Houston streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Houston can cover

The Cougars have the defensive ability to slow down TCU and make this a competitive game as just 10 teams in all of college football allow fewer passing yards per game than Houston. If TCU can't move the ball through the air, then its offense could come to a halt as the Horned Frogs are simply not built to run the ball. Their 101 rushing yards per game ranks 115th out of 134 FBS teams, and their miniscule 3.3 yards per carry is also 115th in the country.

Houston also has considerable advantages in terms of spread success. It is 6-3 against the spread following a straight-up defeat since the start of last year, while TCU usually doesn't handle success well in its ensuing game. The Horned Frogs are just 2-5 ATS after a victory since the start of 2023. That's only a 28.6% cover percentage and is the second-worst cover rate amongst current Big 12 teams. See which team to pick here. 

Why TCU can cover

There are 134 teams in FBS, and Houston ranks dead last in scoring amongst them with 10.4 points per game. The Cougars scored five touchdowns in their lone victory over Rice, but Houston has scored just one total TD over its other four games. Not only did the team fail to find the endzone in each of its last two games, but it failed to even get on the scoreboard, getting shut out by Cincinnati and by Iowa State. 

The Cougars struggle moving the ball in all aspects, ranking outside the top 100 of the nation in both passing and rushing yards per game. TCU has no such issues putting points on the board as it has scored at least 34 points in every game this season. The air raid offense under HC Sonny Dykes has heavily leaned on the arm of QB Josh Hoover, who leads the country in both attempts and completions while ranking third in passing yards. Hoover has accounted for more total TDs over his last two games (seven) than Houston has scored all season (six). See which team to pick here. 

How to make Houston vs. TCU picks

The model has simulated TCU vs. Houston 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Houston vs. TCU, and which side of the spread is hitting well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the TCU vs. Houston spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that's up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.