Oil prices rise further, stocks waver on Middle East worries

LONDON (Oct 2): Stock markets wavered while oil prices extended a rally today as Iran’s missile attack on Israel fanned fears of a Middle East-wide conflict.

Brent crude, the international benchmark, topped US$75 per barrel while West Texas Intermediate, the US contract, was above US$72, with both more than three per cent higher.

Iran launched its second direct attack on Israel in history on Tuesday, firing what it said were 200 missiles in retaliation for the killings of Tehran-backed militants.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu vowed to make Iran “pay” for its “big mistake” while Tehran warned today that it would launch an even bigger attack if it is targeted.

The attack sent oil prices surging by as much as five per cent on Tuesday.

“It is all about Middle East conflict now, when it comes to oil prices,” said Fawad Razaqzada, analyst at City Index and Forex.com.

“The extent of Israel’s potential response to Iran will influence how much further geopolitical risk markets are likely to factor in,” he said.

Prices could fall if Israel’s has a “measured” response and avoids hitting Iran’s nuclear facilities, he said.

“However, if Israel lures in the US in its fight, or responds with an even bigger attack this time, then watch out for oil prices to potentially sky rocket,” Razaqzada added in a note.

Naeem Aslam, analyst at Zaye Capital, said prices could be “flirting near the US$100” mark if a really serious threat materialises.

Oil prices had been struggling this year due to concerns over weakness in the Chinese economy and expectations of higher production from Saudi Arabia and seven other members of the OPEC+ crude cartel.

“With Israel now expected to retaliate, the chances of further escalation are high, prompting a pivot in (oil) market sentiment from concerns over excess supply to fears of shortages,” said Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at ActivTrades.

Wall Street falls further

Equity markets were mixed in Europe and New York, with the Dow flat and the tech-heavy Nasdaq and broad-based S&P 500 in the red in early trading.

Frankfurt fell and Paris was flat in afternoon deals but London’s top-tier FTSE 100 index rose slightly, helped by share-price gains for oil giants BP and Shell.

Hong Kong’s stock market surged more than six per cent by the close, continuing a sharp rally after China last week unveiled a raft of measures to boost its economy, particularly the troubled property sector.

Markets were closed in Shanghai and Shenzhen for a week-long holiday, having also zoomed higher before the break. Tokyo fell more than two per cent.

Property developers led the surge in Hong Kong today, with Agile Group rocketing 160 per cent higher and Sunac China Holdings up more than 75 per cent.

However, the firms were still at just a fraction of their prices three years ago.

While the Middle East conflict has investors worried, they remain focused on the US Federal Reserve’s future plans for interest rates and will look closely at jobs data Friday for clues about the central bank’s next move.

Key figures around 1350 GMT

Brent North Sea Crude: UP 3.1 per cent at US$75.82 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: UP 3.4 per cent at US$72.21 per barrel

New York – Dow: FLAT at 42,157.41 points

New York – S&P 500: DOWN 0.3 per cent at 5,694.33

New York – Nasdaq: DOWN 0.5 per cent at 17,828.73

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.2 per cent at 8,290.72

Paris – CAC 40: FLAT at 7,577.33

Frankfurt – DAX:  DOWN 0.5 per cent at 19,116.89

Hong Kong – Hang Seng Index: UP 6.2 per cent at 22,443.73 (close)

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 2.2 per cent at 37,808.76 (close)

Shanghai – Composite: Closed for a holiday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at US$1.1057 from US$1.1067 on Tuesday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at US$1.3273 from US$1.3279

Dollar/yen: UP at 145.63 yen from 143.57 yen

Euro/pound: DOWN at 83.23 pence from 83.34 pence – AFP