Rupee trades in narrow range against U.S. dollar in early trade

The rupee strengthens against dollar on softer oil prices and RBI intervention, while trade deficit narrows and impacts currency

The rupee witnessed range-bound trade and appreciated 3 paise to 83.99 against the U.S. dollar in initial deals on Thursday (October 17, 2024), as suspected RBI intervention coupled with softer oil prices supported the rupee at lower levels.

Forex traders said the rupee is likely to trade in a narrow range during the day as a strong dollar and a muted tone in the domestic equities weighed on the local unit, while weak crude oil prices and any intervention by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) may also support the local currency.

At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 84.01 against the greenback. In the initial trade, it touched 83.99, registering a rise of 3 paise over its previous close.

On Wednesday (October 16, 2024), the rupee witnessed a range-bound trade and strengthened marginally by 2 paise to 84.02 against the US dollar.

Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was trading at 103.59.

Brent crude, the global oil benchmark, rose marginally by 0.26% to $74.41 per barrel in futures trade.

"India's trade deficit shrank significantly in September, falling to $20.78 billion from a ten-month high of $29.65 billion in August. A narrowing trade gap eases some of the pressure on the rupee, providing it with a temporary cushion," CR Forex Advisors MD Amit Pabari said.

Adding to the optimism, oil prices have recently dipped by 5%, driven by weaker global demand and easing tensions in the Middle East, Pabari added.

Additionally, all eyes will be on the ECB monetary policy meeting and key US economic data points, which may further influence the rupee’s trajectory, he added.

On the domestic equity market front, Sensex declined 281.66 points, or 0.35% , to 81,219.70 points. The Nifty fell 129.35 points, or 0.52%, to 24,841.95 points.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the capital markets on Wednesday (October 16, 2024), as they offloaded shares worth ₹ 3,435.94 crore, according to exchange data.

On the macroeconomic front, the country's merchandise exports rose marginally by 0.5% to $34.58 billion in September, while the trade deficit narrowed to a five-month low at $20.78 billion.

According to official data released on Wednesday (October 16, 2024), imports increased by 1.6% to $55.36 billion in September compared to $54.49 billion in the year-ago period.

Published - October 17, 2024 10:34 am IST