Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan prediction, odds: 2024 college football Week 11 MACtion picks by top model

SportsLine's model revealed its CFB picks and predictions for Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Bowling Green Falcons during MACtion on Tuesday

Midweek MACtion action kicks off with the Bowling Green Falcons (4-4) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (3-5) squaring off on Tuesday night. The Falcons have been rolling lately, winning two games in a row. On Oct. 26, Bowling Green outlasted Toledo 41-26. This was their second straight win over a MAC opponent. It's a different case for the Chippewas, who have dropped three consecutive games. Last week, Miami (OH) blew out Central Michigan 46-7.

Kickoff from Kelly/Shorts Stadium in Mount Pleasant, Mich., is at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Falcons are 11.5-point favorites in the latest Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 49. Before making any Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 18-9 on all top-rated picks over the past six weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football betting lines and trends for Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green:

• Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan spread: Falcons -12.5
• Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan over/under: 49.5 points 
• Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan money line: Falcons -498, Chippewas +368
• BGSU: 4-3 against the spread this season 
• CMU: 2-2 ATS this season 
• Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan picks: See picks here
• Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Bowling Green can cover

The Falcons have been able to move the ball consistently throughout the season. They are fourth in the MAC in scoring offense (27.1), third in passing offense (230.4) and sixth in total offense (376.9). Senior quarterback Connor Bazelak has impressive field vision and gets the ball out quickly. He's completed 68% of his passes for 1,815 yards and 10 passing touchdowns in 2024.

He has thrown for at least two passing touchdowns in two straight games. Junior tight end Harold Fannin Jr. is the main weapon in the passing attack. Fannin Jr. has quick feet and is dynamic in the open field. The Ohio native leads the MAC in receiving yards (947) with 66 receptions and six scores. He has five games with 100-plus yards. Central Michigan, meanwhile, has given up at least 27 points in each of the last three games.  See who to back at SportsLine.

Why Central Michigan can cover

Central Michigan has been able to establish the run game this season. The Chippewas are ranked fourth in the conference in rushing offense (184.4) with 5.1 yards per carry. Senior running back Marion Lukes is the lead workhorse in the backfield due to his contact balance and burst. He has compiled 465 rushing yards with four rushing touchdowns. Lukes has rushed for at least 75 rushing yards in four of the last five games.

The Falcons are rank seventh in the MAC in run defense (169.1), which means the Chippewas can get this attack going. Junior linebacker Dakota Cochran provides this group with an athletic and downhill thumper. He's logged 37 total tackles with 3.5 sacks. Cochran has been able to finish with a sack in three of the last five games. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 53 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in over 60% of simulations. You can see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan, and which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out.