Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan prediction, odds: 2024 college football Week 11 MACtion model picks

SportsLine's model revealed its CFB picks and predictions for Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Bowling Green Falcons during MACtion on Tuesday

Midweek MACtion action kicks off with the Bowling Green Falcons (4-4) and the Central Michigan Chippewas (3-5) squaring off on Tuesday night. The Falcons have been rolling lately, winning two games in a row. On Oct. 26, Bowling Green outlasted Toledo 41-26. This was their second straight win over a MAC opponent. It's a different case for the Chippewas, who have dropped three consecutive games. Last week, Miami (OH) blew out Central Michigan 46-7. Both teams have struggled against the spread recently as CMU has covered just once since its season opener on on Aug. 29, while Bowling Green is just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five. 

Kickoff from Kelly/Shorts Stadium in Mount Pleasant, Mich., is at 7:30 p.m. ET. After opening at -10.5, the Falcons are now 13.5-point favorites in the latest Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 48.5, down from opening at 53.5. Before making any Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 18-9 on all top-rated picks over the past six weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college football betting lines and trends for Central Michigan vs. Bowling Green:

• Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan spread: Falcons -13.5
• Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan over/under: 48.5 points 
• Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan money line: Falcons -602, Chippewas +428
• BGSU: 4-3 against the spread this season 
• CMU: 2-5-1 ATS this season 
• Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan picks: See picks here
• Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why Bowling Green can cover

Junior running back Terion Stewart is an explosive weapon in the backfield. Stewart can take any touch the distance due to his speed and second-level acceleration. The Tennessee native has 106 carries for 557 yards and five touchdowns. He's surpassed 60 rushing yards in five games this season. Central Michigan's defense gives up 4.8 yards per carry.

Defensively, the Falcons have been able to generate pressure. They have notched 20 team sacks this season. Meanwhile, Central Michigan has given up 16 sacks as a team in 2024. Junior linebacker Joseph Sipp Jr. is always around the ball. He's logged a team-high 53 total tackles and four sacks. In his last game, Sipp Jr. had a season-high 11 tackles. See who to back at SportsLine.

Why Central Michigan can cover

Central Michigan has been able to establish the run game this season, and that could be big when it comes to staying within a two-score spread at home. The Chippewas are ranked fourth in the conference in rushing offense (184.4) with 5.1 yards per carry. Senior running back Marion Lukes is the workhorse in the backfield due to his contact balance and burst. He has compiled 465 rushing yards with four rushing touchdowns. Lukes has rushed for at least 75 rushing yards in four of the last five games.

The Falcons are rank seventh in the MAC in run defense (169.1), which means the Chippewas can get this attack going. Junior linebacker Dakota Cochran provides this group with an athletic and downhill thumper. He's logged 37 total tackles with 3.5 sacks. Cochran has been able to finish with a sack in three of the last five games. See who to back at SportsLine.

How to make Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 53 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bowling Green vs. Central Michigan, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $2,000 on top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out.