Miami vs. Virginia Tech prediction, odds, line: 2024 college football Week 5 picks from proven model

SportsLine's model simulated Friday's Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami Hurricanes matchup 10,000 times

Virginia Tech is 5-8 over its last 13 matchups against Miami, but more than half of those Hokies victories came on the road as they return to Miami's Hard Rock Stadium to take on No. 7 Miami (4-0) on Friday night. Virginia Tech (2-2) has won two of the last five meetings at Miami in this ACC contest entering the Week 5 college football schedule. Can Miami put together a dominant showing on its home field for Virginia Tech vs. Miami in the 2024 college football season, or will Virginia Tech yet again prove to not be intimidated by playing in an NFL stadium and exit with an upset victory?

Miami vs. Virginia Tech will kick off from Hard Rock Stadium on Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Hurricanes are 17.5-point favorites in the latest Virginia Tech vs. Miami odds, according to the SportsLine consensus, with an over/under at 54. This will be the first time all season Virginia Tech will be an underdog, so how should that affect any Miami vs. Virginia Tech bets? Before making any Virginia Tech vs. Miami picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has set its sights on Virginia Tech vs. Miami. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for the game: 

• Miami vs. Virginia Tech spread: Miami -17.5
• Miami vs. Virginia Tech over/under: 54 points
• Miami vs. Virginia Tech money line: Miami -901, Virginia Tech +585
• MIA: The Hurricanes are 2-1 ATS when favored by more than 16 points this season
• VT: The Hokies went 8-5 ATS last season, tied for the second-best cover percentage in the ACC
• Miami vs. Virginia Tech picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Miami

The Hurricanes have scored at least 50 points in three straight games and are coming off a 50-15 victory over South Florida in a game they were favored by 16.5 points. They are also allowing just eight points per game over that span. The Hurricanes opened the season as 2.5-point favorites on the road against Florida before a 41-17 victory where they outgained the Gators, 529-261. Miami ranks ninth in scoring defense, allowing 10.7 points per game, while allowing the 10th-fewest yards per play (3.9) in college football.

Cam Ward has become an immediate household name among college football fans as the Washington State transfer enters the Week 5 college football season with the lowest odds of winning the Heisman Trophy. Ward has passed for at least 300 yards in all four games while completing 72.4% of passes for 1,439 yards and 14 touchdowns with two interceptions. He's thrown for the second-most yards in college football with the most passing touchdowns to lead the No. 2 scoring offense. Miami is 3-1 ATS this season and with how dominant Ward has been this season, a victory by at least 20 points seems achievable against any team in the country. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech is 1-1 on the road this season and covered the spread in its last road contest in a 37-17 win at Old Dominion on Sept. 14. The Hokies outscored Old Dominion, 23-7, in the second half, including 17-7 in the fourth quarter. Virginia Tech had a chance to pull off a comeback victory last week after scoring the first 14 points in the fourth quarter but a 24-yard field goal by Rutgers with 1:56 left in the fourth quarter with the score tied at 23 proved to be the difference maker. Virginia Tech has outscored its opponents in the fourth quarter in all four games this season, the Hokies just need a quicker start to match their finishing totals.

Senior running back Bhayshul Tuten has averaged at least five yards a carry in all four of his college seasons and he enters Friday averaging 5.8 yards per rush with 391 rushing yards and seven touchdowns over four games. He has nearly matched his scoring total from his first season with Virginia Tech last season when he had 10 touchdowns following rushing for 13 scores at North Carolina A&T, an FCS program, the year before. Miami can score in a hurry, so Virginia Tech's best strategy may be keeping them off the field as much as possible. See which team to pick here.

How to make Virginia Tech vs. Miami picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 61 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits over 50% of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Miami vs. Virginia Tech, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Virginia Tech vs. Miami spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $2,000 on its FBS college football picks since its inception, and find out.