Election Results 2024 Live Analysis: Mehbooba Mufti’s PDP leads in just 3 seats in the Valley; Haryana battle turns neck-and-neck

Election Results 2024 Live Analysis: With counting of votes for the 90 assembly seats in Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir underway, it remains to be seen if Congress can pull off an upset in both the polls. We decode the results as they trickle in.

Assembly Election Results 2024 Live Analysis: With counting of votes for the 90 assembly seats in Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir underway, it remains to be seen if Congress can pull off an upset in both the polls — as per early trends, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), the single largest party in J&K with 28 seats in the last assembly polls, is leading only on three seats.

The mood in Haryana: With Congress predicted for a clear majority, a poll defeat will deal a blow to the BJP, but no party has formed the government in this state for three consecutive time. Within the Congress, the stage is set for the declaration of a Chief Ministerial face should the party secures a victory. Some of the leaders who have staked claims, openly or obliquely, for the post include Leader of the Opposition Bhupinder Singh Hooda, Dalit leader Kumari Selja, Randeep Singh Surjewala, and even Hooda’s son Deepender.

In Kashmir: The National Conference (NC) and the Congress have jointly fought the J&K Assembly elections, and are expected to have an edge in the polls. For the Mehbooba Mufti-led Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), the stakes are particularly high, seeing as it could play a key role in the event of the Congress-NC alliance falling short of a majority. Additionally, the future of smaller parties like Altaf Bukhari’s Jammu and Kashmir Apni Party (JKAP) and the People’s Conference would also be determined by the poll results.

Get latest news updates on ECI results for Election Results Haryana along with Election Results in J&K. 

Live Updates
10:27 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: BJP, Congress in close contest in Ambala Cantt

The former State Home Minister and senior BJP leader Anil Vij is tied in a tight contest in Ambala Cantt, a seat he has wrested six times. This time around, Vij, who openly staked claim to the top post after the BJP declared the siting CM Nayab Singh Saini as their CM face, is facing stiff completion from Congress’s Parvinder Pal Pari as well as the independent candidate and Congress rebel Chitra Sarwara.

Interestingly, Chitra, daughter of Nirmal Singh, Congress candidate from Ambala city, had come second in the 2019 assembly elections. Chitra, who rejoined Congress early this year after leaving AAP, had thrown her hat in the ring for the party ticket but was denied due to the party’s one family one ticket principle. This has made it a tight contest not just for Vij but for the Congress candidate as well. Other contenders from the seat include Indian National Lok Dal’s Onkar Singh, Aam Aadmi Party’s Raj Kaur Gill, and Jannayak Janta Party’s Avtar Singh.

10:24 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: Saini says he will take "full responsibility" if BJP loses in Haryana

Saini has already made a statement saying that "If BJP loses, he shall take the full responsibility".

There has not been any reaction yet from Hooda yet, but Kumari Selja says, "It is very early and the trends will shortly change. Congress will surely form the government with more than 60 seats".

Anil Vij says that "It is too early a trend. It is only been two hours. The trends will continue to remain in BJP's favour".

10:22 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: Dushyant Chautala slips to fourth position in Uchana Kalan

Dushyant Chautala, after two rounds of counting in Uchana Kalan, has slipped to fourth position.

10:21 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: Congress bigwigs lead in Haryana, CM Saini trails in Ladwa

Several bigwigs including Bhupinder Singh Hooda and Vinesh Phogat from Congress in Garhi Sampla-Kiloi and Julana, respectively are leading, while BJP's chief minister Nayab Singh Saini and former home minister Anil Vij are trailing in Ladwa and Ambala cantonment, respectively.

10:20 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: BJP, Congress eye close contest in Haryana; JJP, AAP see no leads

According to early trends (till 10 am), according to Election Commission's data, the BJP is leading in 41 seats while Congress is leading on 34 seats. INLD and BSP, each are leading on one seat, while four Independents are leading on four seats. The postal ballots counting has already been completed and it shows that Dushyant Chautala and his JJP as well as AAP are not in the contest.

So far, till 10 am, neither JJP nor AAP has not led in even a single seat.

The BJP and Congress numbers, however, are fluctuating.

10:14 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: The big contests in Haryana

Ladwa: CM Nayab Singh Saini, BJP, vs sitting Congress MLA Mewa Singh
Garhi Sampla-Kiloi: Former CM Bhupinder Hooda, Congress, vs BJP’s Manju Hooda, daughter of retired police officer
Uchana Kalan: Former Deputy CM Dushyant Chautala, JJP, vs former MP Brijendra Singh, Congress, vs BJP’s Devender Chaturbhuj Attri
Julana: Olympian wrestler Vinesh Phogat, Congress, vs professional wrestler Kavita Dalal, AAP, vs BJP’s Yogesh Kumar
Sirsa: Haryana Lokhit Party chief Gopal Kanda, backed by the BJP, vs Sirsa strongman Gokul Setia, Congress
Hodal: Congress state chief Udai Bhan vs BJP’s Harinder Singh, poll debutant and son of former two-time MLA
Ambala Cantt: State Home Minister Anil Vij, BJP, vs Congress’s Parvinder Pal Pari, vs Congress rebel Chitra Sarwara contesting as an Independent
10:12 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: Haryana assembly election, in numbers

Total seats: 90 – 17 reserved for Scheduled Castes
Total voters: 2.05 crore – 1.09 crore men, 95.83 lakh women and 467 transgender voters
Turnout in 2019: 68.31%
The candidates
Total candidates: 1,031
Candidates with criminal cases: 133 (13% of total candidates)
Crorepati candidates: 538 (52%)
Women candidates: 100 (9.7%)
Average age of candidates: 47.9 years
10:09 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: In Haryana, what are the alliance dynamics?

In Haryana, while the primary contest is between the ruling BJP and Congress, the state’s alliance dynamics has seen a churn.

Ahead of the Lok Sabha polls, the BJP ended its tie-up with the Dushyant Chautala-led Jannayak Janta Party (JJP), which has now allied with Chandrashekhar Azad’s Aazad Samaj Party. While the Opposition INDIA bloc partners Congress and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) had struck a seat-sharing deal for the general elections, they were unable to come to an agreement for the Assembly polls. And the O P Chautala-led Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) is contesting with the Mayawati-led BSP.

10:04 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: BJP fails to open account in the Valley, anger over special status prevails

The BJP has once again failed to open its account in the valley. The only seat where BJP was expecting to win - Gurez - the party candidate Faqeer Mohammad Khan is trailing by over 1500 votes to National Conference’s Nazir Ahmad Khan after two rounds of counting.

The outcome is a result of anger in the valley after the abrogation of Jammu and Kashmir’s special status and the tough Kashmir-policy by the centre. In fact, the political parties and independents that were tagged to be the BJP proxies have also been not able to make a strong performance in the valley.

09:57 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: What is happening in Gurez, where BJP was hopeful of gaining some ground?

In Gurez, BJP candidate Faqeer Mohammad Khan is trailing by 1,558 votes behind National Conference. Two of the five rounds of counting are completed.

09:55 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: A turn in Haryana, BJP leads in 44 seats

This are changing every moment. Now, the BJP leads in 44 seats in Haryana, with Congress a close second at 41 seats.

09:54 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: What could be the reasons for PDP's poor performance?

Leading in just three seats, PDP has failed to make a mark in its south Kashmir stronghold as well where it is leading only in two out of 11 seats.

One of the reasons for PDP’s dismal performance is the perception in the valley that the party can’t come to power and it is better to rally behind an alliance - National Conference-Congress- that has better chances to win.

The PDP’s alliance with the BJP in 2014 that was seen as a betrayal of the popular vote in Kashmir has also contributed to the PDP’s worst ever performance.

09:49 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Jammu and Kashmir Election Results Live Analysis: is PDP looking at its worst performance since formation?

After almost two hours of counting, the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) - that was the single largest party with 28 seats in the last assembly in 2014 - is leading only on three seats - two in south Kashmir and one in north Kashmir.

This is the party’s worst performance since it was founded in 1999. In its first electoral fight in 2002, the party had won 16 seats, followed by 21 seats in 2008 and 28 seats in 2014.

09:46 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Haryana Election Results Live Analysis: Vinesh Phogat leads from Julana

In Haryana, Olympic wrestler Vinesh Phogat is leading from the Julana assembly seat.

09:45 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: J&K Pathers Party candidate trails in Chenani, BJP ahead in early trends

In Chenani, J&K Panthers Party (India) candidate and former minister Harsh Dev Singh was trailing by 3800 votes from his cousin and BJP candidate Balwant Mankotia.

The trends show a keenly contested electoral battle between both BJP and Congress at most of the places in Jammu province where Congress rebels contesting as independents at several places were making their erstwhile party candidates to trail.

09:42 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Jammu and Kashmir Election Results Live Analysis: Prominent BJP leaders lead in Jammu province, J&K president Ravinder Raina trails

Except for BJP's J&K president Ravinder Raina who was trailing by 2797 votes, all the prominent party faces including many former ministers and ex-legislators were leading by 410 votes to 3800 votes in Jammu.

They included Devender Rana, Sham lal Sharma, Chander Parkash Ganga, Yudvir Sethi, R S Pathania among others.

09:40 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Jammu and Kashmir Election Results Live Analysis: BJP leads in 18 constituencies in Jammu, 'in touch with independents' says state leader

With BIP leading in 18 out of 47 constituencies in Jammu province, the BJP vice president Yudvir Sethi said that the party was hopeful of forming its government in J&K with the help of independents.

When asked whether any consultations were going on with independents, he said that “we are in touch with independents”.

“We will win nearly 35 seats, outperforming its 2014 assembly polls,” he said. The BJP had in 2014 assembly polls had won 25 seats in Jammu region and entered the corridors of power in coalition with the PDP.

09:38 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Haryana Election Results Live Analysis: BJP's Arti Singh Rao leads in Ateli

BJP candidate Arti Singh Rao, the daughter of union minister and Gurgaon MP Rao Inderjit Singh who got her ticket after announcing that she will contest with or without BJP, is ahead after the first round in Ateli.

09:35 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: Congress's Udai Bhan leads in Hodal constituency

In Hodal, where HPCC president Udai Bhan is contesting, Congress is ahead after the first round of counting.

09:34 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: Ex-Haryana CM Bhupinder Singh Hooda leads from Gargi Sampla Kiloi

Former Haryana CM and Congress leader Bhupinder Singh Hooda is leading from Gargi Sampla Kiloi constituency.

09:32 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: Mehbooba Mufti’s daughter Iltija trails

In what looks like can be a big upset in Jammu and Kashmir, former chief minister and PDP chief Mehbooba Mufti’s daughter Iltija Mufti is trailing in Srigufwara-Bijbehara seat. Bashir Ahmad Shah Veeri of the National Conference is leading from there.

09:30 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: Congress extends lead in Jammu and Kashmir

At 9.30 am, the Congress has extended its lead in 50 seats in Jammu and Kashmir. The BJP, meanwhile, leads in 29 seats and the PDP in 7. The Jammu and Kashmir Assembly has 90 seats in total.

09:29 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: Riots-accused Mamman Khan leads in Ferozepur Jhirka

In Ferozepur Jhirka, Congress' Mamman Khan, who is an accused in the riots case, is leading by 13,681 votes after round 2.

09:27 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: CLP leader leads in Nuh, Saini cabinet minister in third position

After round one of counting in Haryana's Nuh, Deputy CLP leader Aftab Ahmed leads while minister of Saini cabinet Sanjay Singh is third behind Om Prakash Chautala-led INLD .

09:19 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: Will Hindu-dominated seats of Jammu be key to govt in J&K again?

Observers feel the Jammu division, especially Hindu-dominated districts, will emerge as the key in the power corridors of the UT.

BJP: The party contested all 47 seats in Jammu province and is banking on the votes of the Pahari ethnic group and the Padari tribe, which were granted Scheduled Tribe (ST) status earlier this year.

Congress, NC: The Congress and NC contested 30 and 17 seats respectively in Jammu, and were engaged in “friendly fights” in four. Both parties are banking on the consolidation of Gujjar voters, who are miffed with the BJP for inducting the Paharis into the ST category and feel the move diluted political representation granted to them post the abrogation of Article 370 in August 2019.

09:17 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: BJP leads in 30 seats in Haryana, faraway from halfway mark

Currently, the BJP leads in only 30 seats in Haryana. If the current numbers hold, the party will be facing a setback in the state where it has been in power for the last 10 years.

09:16 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Election Results Live Analysis: Congress goes past halfway mark in Haryana and J&K

A status check at 9 am: The Congress have gone past the majority mark in both Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir.

09:05 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Assembly Election Results 2024 Analysis: Early trends in Jammu show BJP leading in 19 seats, Congress in 10

As the counting of postal ballot begins, early trends in Jammu show BJP leading in 19, Congress 10 and independents in 6. AAP and BSP in are leading in one constituency each.

08:58 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Assembly Election Results 2024 Analysis: 5 things to watch out for in Jammu and Kashmir poll results

Here are five things to watch out for in the poll results:

NC-Congress alliance: The National Conference (NC) and the Congress have jointly fought the J&K Assembly elections. Both are part of the Opposition INDIA alliance at the national level. Under their seat-sharing pact, the NC contested 51 seats out of J&K’s 90 as compared to the Congress’s 32 , with both partners also opting for “friendly fights” in five other constituencies.

PDP factor: The stakes are very high in the elections for the Mehbooba Mufti-led Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). In the previous Assembly polls in 2014, the PDP had emerged as the single largest party with 28 seats. The party had then forged an alliance with the BJP to form a coalition government, but the BJP withdrew its support to it in June 2018 following which J&K has been under the Central rule.

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08:58 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Assembly Election Results 2024 Analysis: 5 things to watch out for in Haryana poll results

Here are five things to watch out for in the poll results:

Cong’s CM pick if it wins: A tussle between various chief ministerial aspirants within the Congress was seen even during the party’s campaign for the October 5 polls. Some of the party front-runners who have staked their respective claims, openly or obliquely, for the CM post include Leader of the Opposition Bhupinder Singh Hooda, All India Congress Committee (AICC) general secretary and Dalit leader Kumari Selja, AICC general secretary Randeep Singh Surjewala, and even Hooda’s son Deepender.

Fallout for BJP: A poll defeat would deal a blow to the BJP, but no party has formed the government in Haryana for three consecutive time. The BJP contested the polls under the leadership of CM Nayab Singh Saini, the party’s OBC face, and state party chief Mohan Lal Badoli, a Brahmin leader.

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08:57 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Assembly Election Results 2024 Live Analysis: Congress leads in early trends for Haryana elections, BJP trails, JJP yet to open account

As the vote counting for the 2024 Haryana Assembly Elections approaches, initial trends reveal Congress leading with 40 seats, while the BJP is behind with 21. The JJP has not yet won any seats, and postal ballot results suggest two seats going to 'others,' according to PTI reports.

08:43 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Assembly Election Results 2024 Live Analysis: Jammu show BJP leading in 19 seats, Congress trailing with 10; Independents gain ground

As the counting of postal ballots begins, early trends in Jammu show the BJP leading in 19 constituencies, followed by the Congress with 10 seats. Independents are leading in 6 constituencies, while the AAP and BSP are each ahead in one constituency.

08:02 (IST) 8 Oct 2024
Assembly Election Results 2024 Live Analysis: Can Congress pull off an upset in Haryana, Jammu and Kashmir?

With counting of votes for the 90 assembly seats in Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir underway, it remains to be seen if Congress can pull off an upset in both the polls — in Haryana, exit polls have predicted Congress’s return to power after 10 years, and rejected BJP’s hopes for the third term. In the UT, exit polls indicate the probability of a hung assembly.

Click here for Haryana and J-K Assembly Election Results Live Updates

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